I’ve been slow about actually posting this, but back on Thursday, November 20th, The Washington Post printed an opinion column by Mike Bird, the author of The Land Trap, together with an image of Henry George’s bearded face parts of buildings. Mr. Bird writes about George and the impact of his books and ideas in the late nineteenth century, saying, “Land was at the forefront of American politics.”

After that, to quote Bird again, “The revolutionary left’s attack on capital left no special role for land, as the right pursued a campaign for widespread homeownership.” But, he says, land is roaring back into politics, and reports that from 2012 to 2024, the proportion of house prices accounted for by the land beneath the houses has risen from 36 percent to 59 percent. On the one hand, some people are demanding rent control and affordable housing programs which deliver benefits for some lucky tenants; on the other, homeowners in some jurisdictions are seeking the abolition or drastic limitation of the property tax. Neither of these is a real solution, and the column concludes, “Without a dramatic shift, the bitter new era of land politics is just getting started.”

I agree, and to give Mr. Bird credit, he seems to be more of a Georgist than I had thought from reading a review of his book. A real solution, as those who have been reading my blog have surely heard before, has to involve replacing other taxes, including the property tax on buildings, with land value taxation. Unfortunately, even if this idea is in circulation to some extent, it is not widely accepted, or even widely debated, and we can soon expect the bursting of the current land price bubble, which can be expected to lead to another Great Recession.
Slate magazine has a book review of The Land Trap, a book by Mike Bird. Mr. Bird may not be a Georgist, strictly speaking, but what he writes about how land speculation contributes to economic instability seems to resemble what the late (Georgist) Professor Mason Gaffney and others have tried to tell the world for many years, and, according to the review, the book does include an account of the thought of Henry George.

Judging by the review, Mr. Bird favors taking land by eminent domain for housing projects, as has been done in Singapore. I believe on several grounds that this would be less good than simply taxing all land on its rental value, but if nothing else, this book may help get Georgist and and Georgist-adjacent ideas into mainstream circulation.
There is an article in Reason about proposals to abolish the property tax, making several good points. In particular, I noted this sentence: “[Milton] Friedman’s qualified support for property taxes (and specifically property taxes on the value of unimproved land) was premised on the idea that the taxes that would replace it, namely sales and income taxes, are more economically destructive.”

They are also more contrary to justice, in my opinion.
Reason magazine’s Liz Wolfe writes, inter alia, about families having fewer children, quoting the New York Times as saying “The number of New York households with three or more children has dropped by nearly 17 percent over the past decade, according to an analysis of census data by the Center for an Urban Future, a think tank.”

Ms. Wolfe then writes (I have added emphasis): “Reading the piece, there appears to be two almost entirely separate issues: New Yorkers’ unreasonable expectations (one mom bemoans how she hosts birthday parties with homemade cakes at the local playground, contrasting that with lavish vacations taken by other parents in the neighborhood) and the fact that there are real cost-of-living issues, primarily of the real estate variety (‘43 percent of units with three or more bedrooms have been occupied by the same tenants for more than ten years’ with median asking price of $1.8 million for three-bedroom and three-bedroom-plus homes). These are two totally separate problems that too frequently get bundled together.”

Those three bedroom homes probably do not involve over a million and a half dollars worth of bricks, plumbing fixtures, and labor; the high prices are chiefly for the land. Naturally, occupying much space in NYC will cost more than having the same space in a small town in Tennessee, but prices are higher than they need to be. Taxing the value of the land would keep the selling price from being so high, and enable other taxes to be cut. Then, among other things, at least some families could afford an additional child.
There was an article in in Reason about housing and property taxes in Cairo, and this is not the first time I have read about architecture being influenced in odd ways by tax policy. For example, in Great Britain there used to be a tax on windows, which meant that houses often lacked windows, or at least have fewer than would otherwise be the case; people were needlessly denied light and air which they could have had.

In Cairo, there is a tax on houses, but it does not apply to unfinished houses, with the result that houses often remain unfinished for many years. To some extent, Egyptians may choose to do things differently from most Americans, for example, by expanding the finished portions of their houses when their families grow. It seems likely, though, that even Egyptians might prefer to live in better finished dwellings, but make a suboptimal choice because of taxes. It may be observed by your Georgist friend that the perverse effects of taxing windows or finished buildings could be avoided by taxing the value of the land instead.
On Tuesday, September 2, Henry George’s 186th birthday, I put on my Henry George Sesquicentennial tie, and went around wishing the people I saw on my perambulations a happy Henry George Day. I managed to talk a bit with a few of them about the man and his ideas.

I also scratched off some numbers from a Virginia lottery ticket which I had bought a few days before the big day; then I scratched off more on Wednesday and Thursday. I didn’t win any money to donate to Georgist organizations, though, so I am making an appeal: if you think that we should tax the idle rich more and the producers lest, if you think that people should be taxed on the basis of the special privileges which they receive, in particular the privilege of owning land, rather than on what they achieve by their own efforts, then consider making a donation.

In particular, you can donate to the Center for the Study of Economics, https://urbantoolsconsult.org. Checks can be mailed to P.O. Box 400, Collingswood NJ 08108. If you have business before the Patent Office, if you are a fellow federal employee, or if it would be otherwise improper for me suggest that you make a donation, this does not apply to you.

Among other things, the CSE is involved in Baltimore, where Baltimore Thrive is trying to reform the city’s property tax, to tax land more and buildings less. They have also exposed problems with current assessments. A small, not very valuable house is assessed at tens of thousands of dollars for the house. Additionally, there can be an assessment of nine thousand dollars or so for the land under the house, while vacant lots in the immediate vicinity of the house are assessed at around three thousand dollars in land value. This is a disgraceful screwup, benefitting out of town land speculators at the expense of working class homeowners. (The assessments are done by an agency of the State of Maryland; also, the Maryland Legislature would have to pass enabling legislation for the city of Baltimore to go two-rate, although I believe that other jurisdictions in Maryland already have that option.)
It has been suggested that Cardinal Prevost, as he was, chose the name Leo to indicate admiration for Pope Leo XIII, who reigned in the late nineteenth century, and was, inter alia, responsible for the encyclical Rerum Novarum, “Of New Things.” Pope Leo XIII was against radically new things, but he did, for example, give conditional approval to labor unions, while opposing the nationalization of property. As I recall, the encyclical stated that fathers have the duty to leave profitable property to their children, which [it said] cannot be done without private property in land. Leo the Thirteenth did not explicitly condemn land value taxation, nor denounce Henry George by name, but George interpreted the encyclical as an attack on his views and his movement (as it probably was), and responded with An Open Letter to Pope Leo XIII. He was polite, but expressed his points of disagreement with the Pope.

There were and are Catholic Georgists, and there are questions about just what was intended by the encyclical, and how various statements in it are to be construed. Some more recent papal encyclicals have been implicitly more favorable to Georgist views — not that the Catholic Church has gone Georgist, or that the late Pope Francis was necessarily familiar with Georgism, but there are statements about social Justice and environmental preservation which seem compatible with a Georgist outlook.

So, anyway, God bless the new Pope Leo (whether there is a God or not), and I hope that his teachings will not drive any wedges between Catholics and Georgists, or pose problems to those who endeavor to be both.
One of my friends, Alanna Hartzok, has been trying to organize a Georgist Speakers’ Bureau, and we held a Zoom meeting on Saturday to discuss it. There are people who are willing to go speak to groups that have any interest in hearing us; I mentioned that I may retire in a few years, and then have more time to devote to Georgist activism, although less money to donate to Georgist organizations. The discussion was interesting; for example, there is a Georgist subreddit, and there are Georgists out there who are not plugged into the movement, what there is of it; they’re not members of Georgist organizations, and they’re mostly not lobbying their mayors, city councilmen, and state legislators to enact Georgist tax reform.

Also, when Alanna asked who said that all that is necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing, I chimed in, “Edmund Burke.”
Reason published an article by former Congressman Ron Paul on how housing can be fixed without the Federal Reserve Board manipulating interest rates. He has a point, but he argues that artificially low interest rates cause people to take on too much debt, invest in projects which which won’t pay off sufficiently, and so on. This is a standard Austrian critique of artificially easy money.

The Georgist critique has a more thorough understanding of the problem. Low interest rates drive up land prices, and encourage speculation. For example, if the annual rental value of a piece of land is $10,000, and expected to remain at that level, and the interest rate is ten percent, the selling price of the land will be $100,000, but if interest is pushed down to 5%, the selling price increases to $200,000. In practice, selling prices will usually be higher, because people will expect future increases in land rent. So artificially low interest rates help make land hard to afford, and result in people taking on more debt to buy land.

I still think well of Dr. Paul; I remember, more than twenty years ago, he let the Council of Georgist Organizations use space in the Congressional Office Building, when there was a conference in the DC area, the first Georgist conference that I attended.
“They were belted barons led by a mitered archbishop who curbed the Plantagenet with Magna Charta; it was the middle classes who broke the pride of the Stuarts; but a mere aristocracy of money will never struggle while it can hope to bribe a tyrant.” — Henry George, Progress and Poverty, Book X, Chapter 4, “How Modern Civilization May Decline”

It is to some extent all too understandable that billionaires like Bezos, Zuckerberg, and the Muskbrat are now being respectful to Donald Trump. A big businessman who openly opposes a corrupt and vengeful president would risk various federal agencies waging lawfare against him and his businesses, perhaps not only trimming his own fortune, but even putting him out of business, and harming many people for whom he may feel responsibility.

I think that Henry George is well worth reading and rereading, yet someone who refers to Progress and Poverty, especially the chapter from which I quoted, may object that we are not in the straights that George feared; we have a substantial middle class, and our society is not divided between plutocrats and the wretchedly poor. That is surely true to some extent, and yet an article in Slate discusses housing as our biggest economic problem, and reports that the shelter index has been rising for 56 straight months. Unfortunately, the authors do not associate the housing problem with land prices, and do not advocate George’s remedy. Upper middle class families who own their homes, and can leave their children an inheritance from these homes or other investments, to a large extent derived directly or indirectly from land, can give their children a good start in life, and wealth to help their own children and grandchildren; people who don’t own valuable real estate largely cannot.

People don’t have to be starving, and don’t have to have studied Georgist economics, to feel that something has gone wrong, and to feel that things need to be set right somehow, which I believe has contributed to the politics of the last decade. Unfortunately, neither the leftists nor the Trump fascists have a good understanding of the land question, and how it contributes to growing inequality and economic instability.
There was a one hour online meeting this evening, under the auspices of Common Ground, USA, to discuss forming a Georgist Speakers Bureau, and getting our ideas on podcasts. Several younger people whom I hadn’t known before were present. It’s good to see that there are some collegiate and twenty-something Georgists out there, and I do hope to see and hear our ideas discussed on podcasts that substantial numbers of people listen to, whether or not we can get on Joe Rogan.

In other news, I did make a donation to the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, aiding J. Ann Selzer and doing my little bit to stick it to Dishonest Donald and his lackeys.
I attended the Common Ground USA membership meeting Sunday evening via Zoom. Georgists have been trying to get Baltimore to switch to a two-rate or, ideally, land-only property tax, which would require authorization from the Maryland Legislature, although other jurisdictions in Maryland could enact such a property tax reform if they so chose. Perhaps we could get Cumberland interested. Also, assessments are sadly imperfect in Baltimore, with vacant lots typically assessed at much less than lots which have buildings on them. Even with poor assessments, land value taxation can spur redevelopment, but it is much better to have accurate and up-to-date real estate assessments.

The mayor of Detroit tried to get land value taxation there, but the Michigan legislature, whose approval was required, voted it down. Al of the Republicans and a few Democrats opposed it. The mayor will now run as an independent candidate for Governor of Michigan; we’ll see what comes of that.

We also discussed upcoming conferences, at which we hope to meet people and get our ideas into circulation.
The Washington Post published a letter of mine on Thursday, in print and online; the published version was an abridgment of what I had written, but I will quote it as printed:

Jim Parrott and Mark Zandi have praise and criticism for Vice President Kamala Harris’s housing proposal in their Aug. 26 op-ed, “Harris’s plan could solve the housing crisis,” but both writers and Ms. Harris overlook important points.

The costs of land, labor and materials have indeed risen too high for builders to make a profit on affordable housing, but one of these three is not like the others. High pay encourages people to become construction workers, and high prices for beams and plumbing fixtures encourage their production. However, high land costs do not encourage production or create jobs for landmakers.

Construction regulations and demand have all made land more expensive. Attempts to subsidize housing are likely to increase the demand for land, driving up land prices further.

We need less snob zoning and property tax reform. Let’s replace the property tax — on buildings and land — with a land-only tax. Such a tax would make land speculation unprofitable, and relief from taxes on buildings would encourage housing construction. If we are to address the lack of affordable housing effectively, we need to think outside the box.

Nicholas D. Rosen, Arlington
The writer is president of the Center for the Study of Economics.


I remember Mark Zandi, not that I’ve ever met him, but IIRC, in the run-up to the Great Recession, and then in its aftermath, he made pronouncements about the real estate market which I really did not agree with. I don’t suppose him to be a complete fool, but unfortunately he has never “seen the cat,” as Georgists put it, and doesn’t understand what is really happening.
Today is Henry George Day, the great economist and reformer’s one hundred and eighty-fifth birthday, so I wore my Henry George Sesquicentennial tie, and, when outside my apartment to get some exercise or run an errand, I wished people a Happy Henry George Day, and if they were receptive, talked with them further. One man said that as a free trader, he was familiar with Henry George, although he hadn’t known the man’s birthday. Several other people showed some level of interest, or at least politeness, and let me tell them that they could read George’s books, or at least look up his name, and “land value taxation.” One man whom I approached announced, sua sponte, that he would Google Henry George.

This is a vacation day, but I did spend some time working, considering prior art references listed in an Information Disclosure Statement for the patent application I’m currently working on. As I once said to an attorney who telephoned my office, and was surprised to find me actually at work rather late (I think it was either on a Friday or the day before a federal holiday), “You know how famously dedicated and hardworking we federal bureaucrats are.”

I bought a couple of scratch-off lottery tickets the other day (I had intended to buy one, but failed to pay attention to the notice, “This machine does not make change”). I would scratch off a number when I finished considering a prior art patent or other document. So far, I haven’t found any prizes, so I’ll make an appeal: If you think that we should spare people from paying income and payroll taxes on the work they put in, if you think we should not make rental housing more expensive with a property tax on buildings, if you think that we should charge people according to the value of the land they occupy, the pollution they release into the atmosphere, and other uses of resources not created by human effort (the electromagnetic spectrum, for example, if you favor a tax reform to charge the poor less and the rich more, without punishing the productive rich for their accomplishments, then please consider donating to the Center for the Study of Economics, urbantoolsconsult.org.

There is a donation button on the website, if you want to pay by card, PayPal, Venmo, or Google Pay; you can also mail a check to Center for the Study of Economics, P.O. Box 400, Collingswood, NJ 08108. This does not apply to you if you have business before the Patent Office, if you are a fellow federal employee, or if it would otherwise be improper for me solicit you to make a donation.
Thomas Savidge has an article in Reason about Lessons for the US from Japan’s Lost Decade. I agree in part with that, but he neglects the point that Japan’s lost decade followed the bursting of an unsustainable bubble in real estate prices, which mostly mean land prices. One lesson which the United States and the rest of the world should have learned is that the lack of land value taxation results in bubbles in land prices, which always burst sooner or later, generally leaving economic devastation in their wake.

Mr. Savidge mentions that Japan “raised a consumption tax,” which the late Professor Mason Gaffney had a few trenchant things to say about. Instead of discouraging the land speculators by making it expensive to keep valuable land out of use, the Japanese government hit ordinary consumers in their pockets.
Many, many years ago, I first heard of the Bohemian Grove, a private club where a bunch of rich and powerful men (I think I remember the late William F. Buckley, Jr. being a member) socialized with each other, and did whatever else they did. I did not know of its origins, or that there was any historical connection to my favorite political economist, but an article by Kevin Taylor in The Sacremento News Review has taught me some things I never knew before.. The original Bohemian Club was founded in nineteenth century San Francisco by a bunch of writers and other creative people, originally excluding rich fudds who lacked sparkling wit or other skills for entertaining their fellow club members. Facing a shortage of funds, the Bohemian Club did start admitting wealthy businessmen, and one thing led to another. The Club acquired some forested land a distance from the actual city, and so became the Bohemian Grove.

The story is of interest as part of the tapestry of human affairs and culture, but also of interest to me, because who was one of San Francisco’s leading newspapermen, writers, public intellectuals, and original members of the Bohemian Club? That’s right, the political economist Henry George.
The Board of the Henry George Institute met via Zoom on Saturday. We discussed the budget, getting the website fully up and running, and in use for Georgist education, and the possibility of producing a special triple issue of the Georgist Journal. We also held elections; I was re-elected as president, Professor Nicholas Archer was re-elected vice-president, and Mr. Mark Sullivan was re-elected as our secretary and treasurer.
A few days ago, I mentioned making a new acquaintance, “Peter,” at a Bring Your Own Mug gathering at the Patent and Trademark Office. Among other things, we discussed land value taxation, and he brought up Detroit, where an attempt has been made to enact LVT. (As I understand it, so far the city has not obtained authorization from the state legislature, which would be required.). Peter asked me how this would help in parts of Detroit where houses are abandoned, and the land is essentially worthless. There are other areas which are not so badly blighted.

I pointed out that there two two aspects of Georgist tax reform, taxing land values more, and reducing or abolishing taxes on buildings, wages, sales, etc. A land value tax in Detroit could raise some revenue from neighborhoods which are not totally derelict, and discourage land speculation there. It would also enable lower taxes on buildings, etc., which would remove a disincentive to fixing up homes, taking derelict buildings and turning them into shops, habitable housing, etc. I gave Peter the example of Harrisburg, Pennsylvania some decades ago: it was about the most blighted city in America, with thousands of abandoned buildings and vacant lots; then, it enacted a two-rate property tax, much higher on land than on buildings, and it largely recovered, with the number of abandoned buildings falling steeply. So even when a community is badly blighted, land value taxation can help, even if it can’t make everything perfect.
As a reminder, in the previous installment of the PTOS speech I gave on February 28, I summarized Progress and Poverty, finishing, “George proposed a single tax on the value of land, and the abolition of other taxes. This would make land, in effect, common property, without interfering with the ability of landowners to use their land as they thought best, or the security of their improvements.”

Then I proceeded to describe the public reaction:

“Many were inspired, many were infuriated, and many worked, with limited success, to put the idea into practice. John Stuart Mill’s stepdaughter was persuaded, and said that Mill himself would have been had he lived to read Progress and Poverty.

“The Duke of Argyll denounced George not only as a Communist, but as an advocate of, I quote, ‘one of the most extreme forms of Communism.’

“Karl Marx fulminated that George’s proposal would restore capitalism, and set it on a firmer basis than before. Karl, you say that as if it were a bad thing.

“Dr. Sun Yat-sen said that George’s thought would be the basis of land and fiscal reform in China.

“Leo Tolstoy became a Georgist, and wrote a Georgist novel, Resurrection, which deserves to be as well known as Anna Karenina. He also implemented Georgist reform on his estate, Yasnaya Polyana.

“I will not attempt a full history of the single tax movement, its successes, defeats, and gradual fading from public awareness and political relevance. I will content myself with observing that if the Georgists Alexander Kerensky and Sun Yat-sen had ended up in power, instead of the Marxists Lenin and Mao, the twentieth century might have been spared a large part of the Hell it went through.”

To be further continued.
Here is the next installment of the presentation I gave on February 28, on the topic, “Henry George: A Neglected Thinker, His Thoughts, and Their Relevance in Today’s World.” You may recall that in the second installment, I told a story which was intended to get people thinking about land prices, and how they were the result of things like population and government services, not anything which the particular landowner had done. Then I proceeded to summarize Progress and Poverty:

“With that as a provocation to thought, what did Henry George say in Progress and Poverty? He argued that low wages and the lack of jobs were not due to lack of capital, or to Malthusian overpopulation. He followed the standard political economy of his day in distinguishing land, labor, and capital. (Modern economists mostly conflate land and capital.)

“The Law of Rent: The rental value of land is the advantage a given piece of land has over the best land freely available.

“If there is free land available where a laborer can produce twenty bushels of potatoes, and you own superior land where the same labor can produce twenty-five bushels of potatoes, you can charge a tenant five bushels of potatoes as rent. Or you can pay a worker twenty bushels of potatoes, and keep five for yourself, which is pretty much the same thing. Land does not just mean agriculture; land in a city can be enormously valuable because of access to potential customers, employees, merchants and manufacturers wit( stuff for sale, and so forth.

“So, as productivity increased, most of the benefit went to landlords, not laborers or even capitalists.

“Furthermore, land speculators drove up the price of land and reduced the availability beyond even what the increased rent dictated. A would-be settler in George’s day had to go past unsettled or thinly settled land held as railroad grants, or otherwise owned by speculators, in order to find any land he could homestead or attempt to purchase. In effect, landlords locked laborers out from working, and that was what led to depressions and high unemployment.

“As an aside, a modern economics professor, Mason Gaffney, refined Henry George’s explanation of just how speculative bubbles in land prices lead to crashes and depressions.

“Henry George argued that various proposed remedies would not work, or at best would do very limited good.

“He proposed a single tax on the value of land, and the abolition of other taxes. This would, in effect, make land common property, without interfering with the ability of landowners to use their land as they saw fit, or with the security of their improvements.”

That will do for now. I will proceed to describe the public reaction to this proposal in the next installment.

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