There was an article in Reason this week criticizing legislation against letting investors buy multiple houses, typically to rent out, and I agree with the article as far as it goes. Investors are not creating a housing shortage this way, nor making it much more difficult for people who want to buy homes, typically with mortgages, to do so. To the extent that they may possibly drive up house prices, that creates an incentive to build more houses, preventing the price increase from becoming very severe.

However, as a Georgist, I also believe that Senator Elizabeth Warren is onto something, although, not being a Georgist, she doesn’t really understand what. There is an issue with investors buying up land, specifically the land under houses. Doing this does not lead to the construction of more land, and therefore makes homes (land and buildings) more expensive for those who want to buy them.
Veronique de Rugy has a good article on marriage and its effects, making several points. Briefly, children growing up with two parents who are married to each other are likely to have much better outcomes than children with one parent, or two adults in an unstable situationship. This is a major source of inequality, since people of the upper middle class typically get married, while a larger percentage of the lower classes don’t.

My readers will not be astonished that I saw a Georgist angle: Ms de Rugy criticizes the tax code, which often makes it more expensive for two people to be married to each other than to shack up informally. It occurs to me that if we taxed land values rather than income, these perverse incentives would not arise.

And now to work.
There’s an article in Reason about California’s proposed tax on the wealth of billionaires, which would tax assets, not current income. The whole article is worth reading, but something which particularly struck me was the statement that covered assets “exclude real property and some pensions and retirement accounts.” Almost fifty years ago, California voters enacted Proposition Thirteen, which cut the property tax, and in particular slowed the rise of assessments on property which remained held by the same owner; the assessed value could still rise when a new owner bought the house and ground.

And now this. Suppose that billionaire Brendan is a descendant of a nineteenth century robber baron who acquired vast landholdings in California by means best not examined too closely; Brendan still owns land worth a fortune, and collects the rents. His landed estates would not be hit by the billionaire tax.

Billionaire Bernard started with much lesser advantages, but had a good idea, helped start a firm in Silicon Valley, worked hard, and is now quite rich, owning a major share of a productive business. His shares would be taxed, and if he controls part of the company by owning preferred stock, his preferred shares would be taxed at more than their actual market price. Productive Bernard would be mulcted, and may even now be moving to another state to avoid the threatened tax.

If California were to learn from the Prophet of San Francisco, it would instead tax land values; Brendan would not be able to respond to such a tax by carrying his acreage to Texas or Florida or Idaho.

And now, I hope to get back to sleep.
I’ve been slow about actually posting this, but back on Thursday, November 20th, The Washington Post printed an opinion column by Mike Bird, the author of The Land Trap, together with an image of Henry George’s bearded face parts of buildings. Mr. Bird writes about George and the impact of his books and ideas in the late nineteenth century, saying, “Land was at the forefront of American politics.”

After that, to quote Bird again, “The revolutionary left’s attack on capital left no special role for land, as the right pursued a campaign for widespread homeownership.” But, he says, land is roaring back into politics, and reports that from 2012 to 2024, the proportion of house prices accounted for by the land beneath the houses has risen from 36 percent to 59 percent. On the one hand, some people are demanding rent control and affordable housing programs which deliver benefits for some lucky tenants; on the other, homeowners in some jurisdictions are seeking the abolition or drastic limitation of the property tax. Neither of these is a real solution, and the column concludes, “Without a dramatic shift, the bitter new era of land politics is just getting started.”

I agree, and to give Mr. Bird credit, he seems to be more of a Georgist than I had thought from reading a review of his book. A real solution, as those who have been reading my blog have surely heard before, has to involve replacing other taxes, including the property tax on buildings, with land value taxation. Unfortunately, even if this idea is in circulation to some extent, it is not widely accepted, or even widely debated, and we can soon expect the bursting of the current land price bubble, which can be expected to lead to another Great Recession.
Slate magazine has a book review of The Land Trap, a book by Mike Bird. Mr. Bird may not be a Georgist, strictly speaking, but what he writes about how land speculation contributes to economic instability seems to resemble what the late (Georgist) Professor Mason Gaffney and others have tried to tell the world for many years, and, according to the review, the book does include an account of the thought of Henry George.

Judging by the review, Mr. Bird favors taking land by eminent domain for housing projects, as has been done in Singapore. I believe on several grounds that this would be less good than simply taxing all land on its rental value, but if nothing else, this book may help get Georgist and and Georgist-adjacent ideas into mainstream circulation.
There is an article in Reason about proposals to abolish the property tax, making several good points. In particular, I noted this sentence: “[Milton] Friedman’s qualified support for property taxes (and specifically property taxes on the value of unimproved land) was premised on the idea that the taxes that would replace it, namely sales and income taxes, are more economically destructive.”

They are also more contrary to justice, in my opinion.
Reason magazine’s Liz Wolfe writes, inter alia, about families having fewer children, quoting the New York Times as saying “The number of New York households with three or more children has dropped by nearly 17 percent over the past decade, according to an analysis of census data by the Center for an Urban Future, a think tank.”

Ms. Wolfe then writes (I have added emphasis): “Reading the piece, there appears to be two almost entirely separate issues: New Yorkers’ unreasonable expectations (one mom bemoans how she hosts birthday parties with homemade cakes at the local playground, contrasting that with lavish vacations taken by other parents in the neighborhood) and the fact that there are real cost-of-living issues, primarily of the real estate variety (‘43 percent of units with three or more bedrooms have been occupied by the same tenants for more than ten years’ with median asking price of $1.8 million for three-bedroom and three-bedroom-plus homes). These are two totally separate problems that too frequently get bundled together.”

Those three bedroom homes probably do not involve over a million and a half dollars worth of bricks, plumbing fixtures, and labor; the high prices are chiefly for the land. Naturally, occupying much space in NYC will cost more than having the same space in a small town in Tennessee, but prices are higher than they need to be. Taxing the value of the land would keep the selling price from being so high, and enable other taxes to be cut. Then, among other things, at least some families could afford an additional child.
There was an article in in Reason about housing and property taxes in Cairo, and this is not the first time I have read about architecture being influenced in odd ways by tax policy. For example, in Great Britain there used to be a tax on windows, which meant that houses often lacked windows, or at least have fewer than would otherwise be the case; people were needlessly denied light and air which they could have had.

In Cairo, there is a tax on houses, but it does not apply to unfinished houses, with the result that houses often remain unfinished for many years. To some extent, Egyptians may choose to do things differently from most Americans, for example, by expanding the finished portions of their houses when their families grow. It seems likely, though, that even Egyptians might prefer to live in better finished dwellings, but make a suboptimal choice because of taxes. It may be observed by your Georgist friend that the perverse effects of taxing windows or finished buildings could be avoided by taxing the value of the land instead.
On Tuesday, September 2, Henry George’s 186th birthday, I put on my Henry George Sesquicentennial tie, and went around wishing the people I saw on my perambulations a happy Henry George Day. I managed to talk a bit with a few of them about the man and his ideas.

I also scratched off some numbers from a Virginia lottery ticket which I had bought a few days before the big day; then I scratched off more on Wednesday and Thursday. I didn’t win any money to donate to Georgist organizations, though, so I am making an appeal: if you think that we should tax the idle rich more and the producers lest, if you think that people should be taxed on the basis of the special privileges which they receive, in particular the privilege of owning land, rather than on what they achieve by their own efforts, then consider making a donation.

In particular, you can donate to the Center for the Study of Economics, https://urbantoolsconsult.org. Checks can be mailed to P.O. Box 400, Collingswood NJ 08108. If you have business before the Patent Office, if you are a fellow federal employee, or if it would be otherwise improper for me suggest that you make a donation, this does not apply to you.

Among other things, the CSE is involved in Baltimore, where Baltimore Thrive is trying to reform the city’s property tax, to tax land more and buildings less. They have also exposed problems with current assessments. A small, not very valuable house is assessed at tens of thousands of dollars for the house. Additionally, there can be an assessment of nine thousand dollars or so for the land under the house, while vacant lots in the immediate vicinity of the house are assessed at around three thousand dollars in land value. This is a disgraceful screwup, benefitting out of town land speculators at the expense of working class homeowners. (The assessments are done by an agency of the State of Maryland; also, the Maryland Legislature would have to pass enabling legislation for the city of Baltimore to go two-rate, although I believe that other jurisdictions in Maryland already have that option.)
It has been suggested that Cardinal Prevost, as he was, chose the name Leo to indicate admiration for Pope Leo XIII, who reigned in the late nineteenth century, and was, inter alia, responsible for the encyclical Rerum Novarum, “Of New Things.” Pope Leo XIII was against radically new things, but he did, for example, give conditional approval to labor unions, while opposing the nationalization of property. As I recall, the encyclical stated that fathers have the duty to leave profitable property to their children, which [it said] cannot be done without private property in land. Leo the Thirteenth did not explicitly condemn land value taxation, nor denounce Henry George by name, but George interpreted the encyclical as an attack on his views and his movement (as it probably was), and responded with An Open Letter to Pope Leo XIII. He was polite, but expressed his points of disagreement with the Pope.

There were and are Catholic Georgists, and there are questions about just what was intended by the encyclical, and how various statements in it are to be construed. Some more recent papal encyclicals have been implicitly more favorable to Georgist views — not that the Catholic Church has gone Georgist, or that the late Pope Francis was necessarily familiar with Georgism, but there are statements about social Justice and environmental preservation which seem compatible with a Georgist outlook.

So, anyway, God bless the new Pope Leo (whether there is a God or not), and I hope that his teachings will not drive any wedges between Catholics and Georgists, or pose problems to those who endeavor to be both.
One of my friends, Alanna Hartzok, has been trying to organize a Georgist Speakers’ Bureau, and we held a Zoom meeting on Saturday to discuss it. There are people who are willing to go speak to groups that have any interest in hearing us; I mentioned that I may retire in a few years, and then have more time to devote to Georgist activism, although less money to donate to Georgist organizations. The discussion was interesting; for example, there is a Georgist subreddit, and there are Georgists out there who are not plugged into the movement, what there is of it; they’re not members of Georgist organizations, and they’re mostly not lobbying their mayors, city councilmen, and state legislators to enact Georgist tax reform.

Also, when Alanna asked who said that all that is necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing, I chimed in, “Edmund Burke.”
Reason published an article by former Congressman Ron Paul on how housing can be fixed without the Federal Reserve Board manipulating interest rates. He has a point, but he argues that artificially low interest rates cause people to take on too much debt, invest in projects which which won’t pay off sufficiently, and so on. This is a standard Austrian critique of artificially easy money.

The Georgist critique has a more thorough understanding of the problem. Low interest rates drive up land prices, and encourage speculation. For example, if the annual rental value of a piece of land is $10,000, and expected to remain at that level, and the interest rate is ten percent, the selling price of the land will be $100,000, but if interest is pushed down to 5%, the selling price increases to $200,000. In practice, selling prices will usually be higher, because people will expect future increases in land rent. So artificially low interest rates help make land hard to afford, and result in people taking on more debt to buy land.

I still think well of Dr. Paul; I remember, more than twenty years ago, he let the Council of Georgist Organizations use space in the Congressional Office Building, when there was a conference in the DC area, the first Georgist conference that I attended.
“They were belted barons led by a mitered archbishop who curbed the Plantagenet with Magna Charta; it was the middle classes who broke the pride of the Stuarts; but a mere aristocracy of money will never struggle while it can hope to bribe a tyrant.” — Henry George, Progress and Poverty, Book X, Chapter 4, “How Modern Civilization May Decline”

It is to some extent all too understandable that billionaires like Bezos, Zuckerberg, and the Muskbrat are now being respectful to Donald Trump. A big businessman who openly opposes a corrupt and vengeful president would risk various federal agencies waging lawfare against him and his businesses, perhaps not only trimming his own fortune, but even putting him out of business, and harming many people for whom he may feel responsibility.

I think that Henry George is well worth reading and rereading, yet someone who refers to Progress and Poverty, especially the chapter from which I quoted, may object that we are not in the straights that George feared; we have a substantial middle class, and our society is not divided between plutocrats and the wretchedly poor. That is surely true to some extent, and yet an article in Slate discusses housing as our biggest economic problem, and reports that the shelter index has been rising for 56 straight months. Unfortunately, the authors do not associate the housing problem with land prices, and do not advocate George’s remedy. Upper middle class families who own their homes, and can leave their children an inheritance from these homes or other investments, to a large extent derived directly or indirectly from land, can give their children a good start in life, and wealth to help their own children and grandchildren; people who don’t own valuable real estate largely cannot.

People don’t have to be starving, and don’t have to have studied Georgist economics, to feel that something has gone wrong, and to feel that things need to be set right somehow, which I believe has contributed to the politics of the last decade. Unfortunately, neither the leftists nor the Trump fascists have a good understanding of the land question, and how it contributes to growing inequality and economic instability.
There was a one hour online meeting this evening, under the auspices of Common Ground, USA, to discuss forming a Georgist Speakers Bureau, and getting our ideas on podcasts. Several younger people whom I hadn’t known before were present. It’s good to see that there are some collegiate and twenty-something Georgists out there, and I do hope to see and hear our ideas discussed on podcasts that substantial numbers of people listen to, whether or not we can get on Joe Rogan.

In other news, I did make a donation to the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, aiding J. Ann Selzer and doing my little bit to stick it to Dishonest Donald and his lackeys.
I attended the Common Ground USA membership meeting Sunday evening via Zoom. Georgists have been trying to get Baltimore to switch to a two-rate or, ideally, land-only property tax, which would require authorization from the Maryland Legislature, although other jurisdictions in Maryland could enact such a property tax reform if they so chose. Perhaps we could get Cumberland interested. Also, assessments are sadly imperfect in Baltimore, with vacant lots typically assessed at much less than lots which have buildings on them. Even with poor assessments, land value taxation can spur redevelopment, but it is much better to have accurate and up-to-date real estate assessments.

The mayor of Detroit tried to get land value taxation there, but the Michigan legislature, whose approval was required, voted it down. Al of the Republicans and a few Democrats opposed it. The mayor will now run as an independent candidate for Governor of Michigan; we’ll see what comes of that.

We also discussed upcoming conferences, at which we hope to meet people and get our ideas into circulation.
The Washington Post published a letter of mine on Thursday, in print and online; the published version was an abridgment of what I had written, but I will quote it as printed:

Jim Parrott and Mark Zandi have praise and criticism for Vice President Kamala Harris’s housing proposal in their Aug. 26 op-ed, “Harris’s plan could solve the housing crisis,” but both writers and Ms. Harris overlook important points.

The costs of land, labor and materials have indeed risen too high for builders to make a profit on affordable housing, but one of these three is not like the others. High pay encourages people to become construction workers, and high prices for beams and plumbing fixtures encourage their production. However, high land costs do not encourage production or create jobs for landmakers.

Construction regulations and demand have all made land more expensive. Attempts to subsidize housing are likely to increase the demand for land, driving up land prices further.

We need less snob zoning and property tax reform. Let’s replace the property tax — on buildings and land — with a land-only tax. Such a tax would make land speculation unprofitable, and relief from taxes on buildings would encourage housing construction. If we are to address the lack of affordable housing effectively, we need to think outside the box.

Nicholas D. Rosen, Arlington
The writer is president of the Center for the Study of Economics.


I remember Mark Zandi, not that I’ve ever met him, but IIRC, in the run-up to the Great Recession, and then in its aftermath, he made pronouncements about the real estate market which I really did not agree with. I don’t suppose him to be a complete fool, but unfortunately he has never “seen the cat,” as Georgists put it, and doesn’t understand what is really happening.
Today is Henry George Day, the great economist and reformer’s one hundred and eighty-fifth birthday, so I wore my Henry George Sesquicentennial tie, and, when outside my apartment to get some exercise or run an errand, I wished people a Happy Henry George Day, and if they were receptive, talked with them further. One man said that as a free trader, he was familiar with Henry George, although he hadn’t known the man’s birthday. Several other people showed some level of interest, or at least politeness, and let me tell them that they could read George’s books, or at least look up his name, and “land value taxation.” One man whom I approached announced, sua sponte, that he would Google Henry George.

This is a vacation day, but I did spend some time working, considering prior art references listed in an Information Disclosure Statement for the patent application I’m currently working on. As I once said to an attorney who telephoned my office, and was surprised to find me actually at work rather late (I think it was either on a Friday or the day before a federal holiday), “You know how famously dedicated and hardworking we federal bureaucrats are.”

I bought a couple of scratch-off lottery tickets the other day (I had intended to buy one, but failed to pay attention to the notice, “This machine does not make change”). I would scratch off a number when I finished considering a prior art patent or other document. So far, I haven’t found any prizes, so I’ll make an appeal: If you think that we should spare people from paying income and payroll taxes on the work they put in, if you think we should not make rental housing more expensive with a property tax on buildings, if you think that we should charge people according to the value of the land they occupy, the pollution they release into the atmosphere, and other uses of resources not created by human effort (the electromagnetic spectrum, for example, if you favor a tax reform to charge the poor less and the rich more, without punishing the productive rich for their accomplishments, then please consider donating to the Center for the Study of Economics, urbantoolsconsult.org.

There is a donation button on the website, if you want to pay by card, PayPal, Venmo, or Google Pay; you can also mail a check to Center for the Study of Economics, P.O. Box 400, Collingswood, NJ 08108. This does not apply to you if you have business before the Patent Office, if you are a fellow federal employee, or if it would otherwise be improper for me solicit you to make a donation.
Thomas Savidge has an article in Reason about Lessons for the US from Japan’s Lost Decade. I agree in part with that, but he neglects the point that Japan’s lost decade followed the bursting of an unsustainable bubble in real estate prices, which mostly mean land prices. One lesson which the United States and the rest of the world should have learned is that the lack of land value taxation results in bubbles in land prices, which always burst sooner or later, generally leaving economic devastation in their wake.

Mr. Savidge mentions that Japan “raised a consumption tax,” which the late Professor Mason Gaffney had a few trenchant things to say about. Instead of discouraging the land speculators by making it expensive to keep valuable land out of use, the Japanese government hit ordinary consumers in their pockets.
Many, many years ago, I first heard of the Bohemian Grove, a private club where a bunch of rich and powerful men (I think I remember the late William F. Buckley, Jr. being a member) socialized with each other, and did whatever else they did. I did not know of its origins, or that there was any historical connection to my favorite political economist, but an article by Kevin Taylor in The Sacremento News Review has taught me some things I never knew before.. The original Bohemian Club was founded in nineteenth century San Francisco by a bunch of writers and other creative people, originally excluding rich fudds who lacked sparkling wit or other skills for entertaining their fellow club members. Facing a shortage of funds, the Bohemian Club did start admitting wealthy businessmen, and one thing led to another. The Club acquired some forested land a distance from the actual city, and so became the Bohemian Grove.

The story is of interest as part of the tapestry of human affairs and culture, but also of interest to me, because who was one of San Francisco’s leading newspapermen, writers, public intellectuals, and original members of the Bohemian Club? That’s right, the political economist Henry George.
The Board of the Henry George Institute met via Zoom on Saturday. We discussed the budget, getting the website fully up and running, and in use for Georgist education, and the possibility of producing a special triple issue of the Georgist Journal. We also held elections; I was re-elected as president, Professor Nicholas Archer was re-elected vice-president, and Mr. Mark Sullivan was re-elected as our secretary and treasurer.

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