Negotiations, Again
Feb. 15th, 2025 04:43 amSo suppose that Trump and Putin manage to negotiate and end to the Russian-Ukrainian war on some set of terms, and impose this unsatisfactory peace on Ukraine. One obvious problem is that Putin is utterly untrustworthy, and, whatever he says, would be likely to invade what would remain of Ukraine as soon as he saw an advantage in doing so. He might launch another full-scale invasion; he might have his forces fire a few shells, conduct a few drone strikes, or fail to carry out measures which Russia had pledged to undertake.
What then? Would Trump’s America come to Ukraine’s defense, or even resume sanctions against Russia? Does Trump so much as understand that Putin is utterly perfidious? What would be the consequences for Ukraine, and for whatever remains of American honor? Would Trump raise the issue at the negotiating table, and demand that Putin address it, before agreeing to any supposed peace treaty?
I find it hard to be cheerful about the prospects.
What then? Would Trump’s America come to Ukraine’s defense, or even resume sanctions against Russia? Does Trump so much as understand that Putin is utterly perfidious? What would be the consequences for Ukraine, and for whatever remains of American honor? Would Trump raise the issue at the negotiating table, and demand that Putin address it, before agreeing to any supposed peace treaty?
I find it hard to be cheerful about the prospects.